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[personal profile] varjohaltia
There are plenty of panel discussion various universities have put on the web regarding the Fukushima disaster, and how reactors work and all that but I figured I'd go back to basics a bit.

Q: So, what's radiation?
A: It's one of these three:
-An atomic nucleus moving really fast. This is called α-radiation (alpha-radiation)
-An electron (or positron), moving really fast. This is called β-radiation (beta-radiation)
-Electromagnetic radiation (like light, X-rays etc.) This is called γ-radiation (gamma-radiation)
-Neutron radiation, which is a neutron moving really fast (essential for the operation of a nuclear reactor or neutron bomb, but inconsequential here since fission was stopped a week ago and the free neutrons vanished with that.)

Note that γ-radiation is a ray, like light, while α-, β- and neutron radiation are fast moving particles. (Yeah, I know, but I'm trying to generalize here.)

The uranium in a nuclear reactor is turned into various other radioactive substances as it undergoes fission. It's those things other than uranium that are the problem.

The radioactive materials at Fukushima produce all three kinds of radiation. In fact, it's possible that a radioactive atom decays into multiple radioactive atoms and releases one or more kinds of radiation, and then those resulting radioactive atoms decay further producing different kinds of radiation.

Only γ-radiation (γ-rays) travel any significant distance, and only they will penetrate any significant barrier. They're presumably what makes the current power plant site so radioactive and working there so hard, since there's no way to shield the workers against it. However, the effects fall of exponentially with distance, and a really radioactive γ-source a good distance away doesn't really harm you.

While α- and β-radiation can easily be blocked by either a thin layer of metal, or even topmost layer of dead skin cells, those are the ones that are of most concern as far as human health is concerned.

Radioactivity isn't like smoke; you can't take a jar, scoop up radiation from the power plant and take it with you. Instead, the problem is that dust or other small particles of radioactive materials such as Caesium-137 (Cesium-137), Iodine-131 and Strontium-90 that exist in the reactor fuel get spread around and are then ingested or inhaled by humans. When those substances enter the body, they get very close to various organs and the electrons and nuclei they emit wreak havoc with DNA (and other molecules). In that sense, contamination by radioactive materials is not different from an industrial release of mercury or dioxins, just the mechanism of toxicity in the body is different.

All three substances behave differently, as far as their propensity to flow with the wind, rain down, dissolve in water etc, so once they're released into the environment things become really complicated.

Iodine is easy to defend against by policing meat and milk from grazing animals, washing produce, and taking non-radioactive iodine products to prevent the absorption of the radioactive variety. Its half-life is about 8 days, so in a few months most of it will have decayed into harmless stable Xenon, some γ and β. As long as it does its decaying outside of the body, it's pretty much harmless. In the body it concentrates in the thyroid, and if it does its decaying there, there's an elevated risk of thyroid cancer. Most of the statistically inferred deaths from the Chernobyl accident were thyroid cancers in children, and could have been largely prevented by safe iodine and government control for of the food supply for a few months after the accident.

Caesium-137 has a half-life of 30 years, so it'll remain dangerous for hundreds of years. It's the primary reason the area surrounding the Chernobyl reactor is uninhabitable, and will be the reason why the Fukushima site and its environs will be uninhabitable (though, so far, at a far lesser scale than Chernobyl.) It spreads in the body into all kinds of tissue, and hangs around in nature, and concentrates along the food chain. Reindeer, salmon etc. end up with significant Caesium contamination. The decay is a bit more complicated, Wikipedia goes into more detail.

Strontium-90 is dangerous because it accumulates in bone, where it damages the bone marrow and causes leukemia and other cancers. More details in Wikipedia.

The effect on a human body, then, depends on what the radioactive substance is, and whether it has been introduced into the body. The weather and precautionary measures will dramatically change those factors.

To further complicate matters, effect of each of these three kinds of radiation are different. While γ-rays go through all kinds of shielding, they are far less damaging to the human body than α- or β-radiation that has been introduced inside the body.

There are all kinds of units being bandied around in the news. The one that you should watch for is the Sievert (Sv). It tries to take some of these variables into account to be an accurate measure of the effect of radiation on the human body, so a dose of one Sievert of one kind of radiation should be as harmful as one Sievert of radiation from another kind. Usual SI prefixes apply, so usually we're talking about μSv (micro-Sieverts) or mSv (milliSieverts = 1000 micro-Sieverts = 0.001 Sieverts).

Exposure also isn't linear. A first responder dosed with 100 mSv in a minute will have different effect from a civilian who gets 100 mSv over the period of a month, but aside from very short exposures this shouldn't come into play too much.

Note that Sv measures total dose. It's like a unit of distance. When you want to talk about how dangerous or radioactive a location is, you use the rate, Sv/time, for example Sv/hour (Sv/h), much as you would use miles/h to indicate speed. You may know it's 735 km from Tampa to Atlanta, and that's the distance you have to cover, but you need speed (80 km/h) to get an indication how fast you get there.

Similarly, when radiation readings are being bandied about, if the population gets a small dose of a relatively high rate of radiation it sounds dramatic, but is no worse (and often better) than a much, much smaller rate of radiation that contaminates the area and subjects the population to a higher dose over a longer period of time.

Fundamentally, considering the information coming from the various sources, count your Sieverts and mind your SI prefixes. Typical background is 2.4 mSv/year, but radiation workers, first responders etc. can get up to around 50 mSv/year under normal working conditions, and may go into doses in the low hundreds of mSv under emergency conditions. (Obviously, if you respond to an emergency and get 100 mSv in one shift, you'll be doing desk duty away from radiation for the rest of the year.) All sources I've read suggest that even doses of a few hundred mSv do not produce statistically significant increases in cancer rates, above that you're talking about things like increasing your risk of cancer from 40% to 41%.

Date: 2011-03-18 09:52 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] roguer.livejournal.com
As you might have guessed, I've been busy helping to explain the situation to family members (and more clueless individuals on various boards). It's been an interesting moment in history for us - and irrational and ignorant fears over nuclear power have all but eclipsed international concern over the quake and the tsunami which have so devastated Japan.

-Rog

Date: 2011-03-19 12:51 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] varjohaltia.livejournal.com
I bet! I'd be pestering you if you were here. Also, the technically horribly inaccurate media reports are really wearing my patience. Just read one nicely sensationalist article about family of uniformed service members stationed in or sent to Japan being worried. No word that Okinawa etc. are waaaaay far from the area in question. Someone's wife was quoted as saying that their husband would be given protective suits and it was scary. Following that paragraph was a link to a Q&A on radiation sickness symptoms. What kind of conclusion is someone supposed to draw from that?

Also, hope yours never look like this (http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/aij/110318FukushimaEventStatus-14).

(Darnit, can't get the URL right and they changed it right as I was posting this.)
Edited Date: 2011-03-19 12:59 am (UTC)

Date: 2011-03-19 11:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] roguer.livejournal.com
It doesn't help that roughly 3 out of 4 media articles are worthless. Every now and then you get some useful data out of there (for example, the graph showing the exposure rates near the Fuku plants), but mostly, it's the same, typical fear-mongering propaganda you get regarding the nuclear industry.

I wonder how many people have gotten cancer from coal plants, coal mines, and sugar refineries? ;)

Date: 2011-03-21 01:30 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] varjohaltia.livejournal.com
The one thing that's bothering me and I haven't seen anyone answer or ask: Where Iodine-131 has been found in the tap water, was that water from surface sources or ground water?

If surface, then "duh." If it lands on lettuce, it lands on a river or lake, no surprise there.

If ground water, then "ut-oh."

Date: 2011-03-19 01:42 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] silvertales.livejournal.com
Thank you for posting this. Between this and the postings over at the MITNSE site, it's a far better and more rational explanation of the situation than attempting to get anything out of the media sources, since theyseem to be hell-bent on making comparisons to Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, full of sensationalist scare tactics and banking on the fact that most people don't understand how nuclear power plants are structured and the safety precautions taken into account.

On a totally unrelated note, will you be dropping by MegaCon next weekend?

Date: 2011-03-19 01:48 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] varjohaltia.livejournal.com
I'll make the comparison too:

TMI < Fukushima < Chernobyl.

Otherwise, they're very different. Originally TMI was very close to Fukushima as far as what happened, but with the new threat of the fuel pools, Fukushima is breaking new ground, so we'll see.

The constant hinting is getting old. Also heard a news report that "Traces of radioactive materials were detected in California, and officials said they would have no effect on people. --We're trying to get clarification on that last statement." Suddenly this has turned from an academic exercise to detect trace elements in the air to a government coverup. (Which, in the age of cheap Russian geiger counters, social media and such has no hope of concealing what is happening if contamination does spread.)

I'd love to visit MegaCon, but it's looking a bit bad. Sunday, maybe? What are your plans?

Date: 2011-03-19 11:27 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] roguer.livejournal.com
That's exactly right. From an exposure standpoint, Fuku is already worse than TMI. Even if it never gets as bad as the media already makes it out to be, it is easily one of the worst disasters in the history of the industry.

BUT, Chernobyl is a class of its own. Fuku cannot really become like Chernobyl. It does have some interesting wrinkles of its own, but it is much more related to the TMI incident.

Date: 2011-03-21 08:38 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] silvertales.livejournal.com
Oh, the "traces of radioactive materials" reports are most likely scare tactics, as the TSA has reported they're going to start testing for traces on flights into the US... *sigh*

As for MegaCon, I'm up in Orlando on Thursday night and back to Miami on Monday, so I'll be there for the duration all three days at my table... in the Brown section, I think. You are more than welcome to come visit or join us for dinner one night if you like. :)

Date: 2011-03-22 12:29 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jordangreywolf.livejournal.com
I just wanted to thank you for these entries. A whole lot of it is way over my head, but it's still far more informative (and nuanced) than most of what I've been reading. From what Gwendel has been telling me, the tone of coverage in Japan is far different from those in the US. Naturally, the US accounts are going for wild sensationalism, because that gets attention, and that translates into sales.

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